After the uprising that ended the regime of Muammar Gaddafi Libya is still living in chaos. Different factions and tribes are engaged in a violent struggle, oil production has fallen to its all time low and the threat of famine looms over the population – these are the real results of the "Arab Spring" actively supported by the Western powers.
The division of Libya is a likely scenario as the real power in the country belongs to a number of armed groups that seek to control the oil rich regions. The ethnic composition or religious beliefs of the members of these groups doesn’t matter as they compete for the largest oil reserves in Africa. This free for all warfare may never end, resulting in actual disintegration of Libya where Tripoli remains in control only due to its international recognition.
Serious centrifugal processes are taking place in the country: meanwhile Cyrenaica has almost become autonomy, creating its own oil company, Tripolitania and Fezzan are likely to follow suit. This will lead to an increase of the number of armed gangs, absence of real administrative power and the economic crisis in addition to the famine for a long period.
The leaders of these armed groups hinder the economic relations of a still united state with other countries that Libya needs more than ever before.
Libya will not soon recover from the consequences of the so-called Arab Spring. The Western powers that have essentially destroyed the country are clearly not eager to take any responsibility for their actions preferring to pretend that the problem doesn’t exist.
What do you think about the consequences of the Arab Spring in Libya? Has the international society, in particular, the UN draw conclusion from the results of the revolution in Libya? What were the impulsive forces of the civil war in Libya? Could the regime of Muammar Gaddafi survive it the NATO forces haven’t intervened into the warfare process?